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By EquityPandit

EquityPandit

EquityPandit
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Rupee Opens Higher for Fourth Consecutive Session

The Indian rupee has opened higher for the four fourth consecutive session to hit a one-week high against the US dollar on the back of recent gains in domestic equity markets on Tuesday.
At 9.10 am, the Indian rupee was trading at 70.92 a dollar, up 0.34per cent from Friday’s close of 71.15. The Indian unit had opened at 70.92 a dollar and touched a high and a low of 70.90 and 70.93 respectively. Yesterday, markets were closed in Maharashtra due to assembly election.
Domestic equity markets surged in eight out of nine trading session and rose 4.3 per cent during this period. In pre-opening, the benchmark Sensex index fell 0.33 per cent or 127.81 points to 39170.57. So far this year it gained 9 per cent.
Traders also exercised caution and are awaiting fresh cues on the potential trade deal between the US and China. US President Donald Trump said China has indicated that negotiations over an initial trade deal are advancing, raising expectations the leaders could sign an agreement at a meeting next month in Chile.
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ECONOMY

India Plans to Export 40,000 Tonnes of Shrimp to US After Tariff Pause

Dhruva Kulkarni

India’s seafood exporters are preparing to ship 35,000–40,000 tonnes of shrimp to the US after President Trump paused a 26% tariff hike on 9th April, reducing it to 10% and offering relief to the industry.

Around 2,000 delayed containers are now being readied for export under the revised tariff.

Indian shrimp exports to the US currently face a total duty of 17.7%, including countervailing and anti-dumping duties, which exporters typically bear under delivery duty-paid arrangements.

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The 90-day pause allows existing orders to be fulfilled without extra costs.

The US remains India’s top shrimp market, and exporters are urging the government to push for fairer trade terms before the temporary relief ends.

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ECONOMY

India’s Industrial Growth Slows to 2.9% in February on Weak Manufacturing

Dhruva Kulkarni

India’s factory output (IIP) grew 2.9% in February 2025, slowing from 5.2% in January due to weaker growth across key sectors.

Manufacturing and mining growth eased to 2.9% and 1.6%, respectively, while electricity generation improved to 3.6% from 2.4% in January.

Primary goods growth slowed to 2.8% from 5.5%, capital goods rose 8.2% versus 10.3%, and infrastructure/construction goods grew 6.6% from 7.4%.

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Consumer durables grew 3.8%, down from 7.2% in January, while consumer non-durables contracted 2.1% after a 0.3% decline.

The IIP index for February stood at 151.3, with mining at 141.9, manufacturing at 148.6, and electricity at 194.0.

Key manufacturing drivers were basic metals (5.8%), motor vehicles and trailers (8.9%), and non-metallic mineral products (8.0%), supported by increased production of steel, auto components, and cement.

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ECONOMY

China Hints at Rate Cuts to Offset Trump’s Tariffs

Dhruva Kulkarni

A Chinese state newspaper signalled the need for monetary easing as US trade tensions threaten economic growth, suggesting the central bank should cut interest rates and banks’ reserve requirements.

The report stated that such measures could stabilise markets, boost confidence, and mitigate external shocks.

Chinese stocks rose for the third day, driven by stimulus expectations and hopes for a trade deal with the US. The urgency for easing increased after US President Donald Trump raised tariffs on Chinese imports to 125% while pausing levies on other trade partners.

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Meanwhile, China’s consumer deflation extended for a second month in March, adding to economic concerns.

The People’s Bank of China has repeatedly pledged to lower borrowing costs and reserve requirements, fueling a rally in China’s bond market.

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ECONOMY

Piyush Goyal to Discuss Export Strategies Amid Trump’s Tariff Moves

Dhruva Kulkarni

Union Minister Piyush Goyal will meet exporters at Vanijya Bhawan in New Delhi today from 3 PM to 5 PM to discuss challenges posed by US President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs. 

The meeting will focus on strategies to mitigate their impact, with exporters exploring new markets in gems, jewellery, electronics, textiles, and apparel.

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Senior Ministry officials, along with representatives from Export Promotion Councils (EPCs) and the Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO), will participate, according to PTI (Press Trust of India Ltd).

Earlier today, Goyal emphasised that India’s best interests remain the priority in trade negotiations. Speaking at the Dubai India business forum in Mumbai, he reaffirmed that ‘India First’ is the guiding principle, assuring business leaders that trade agreements will support the country’s long-term economic goals.

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ECONOMY

RBI May Cut Rates on 9th April Amid Global Tariff Pressures

Dhruva Kulkarni

With global trade tensions rising due to tariff hikes, all eyes are on the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) policy decision on 9th April. Experts expect the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to weigh these risks while focusing on domestic factors.

A 25-bps rate cut is widely anticipated, with inflation cooling, growth slowing, crude oil prices falling, and US bond yields dipping. While many foresee further reductions in June, opinions differ on the RBI’s stance—about half expect a shift to ‘accommodative,’ while 40% believe it may remain ‘neutral’ amid global uncertainties.

Most predict the repo rate could bottom out around 5.5%, implying a total 75-bps cut. No major liquidity surprises are expected, as the RBI has already eased conditions through open market operations and currency swaps. Further liquidity measures would be market-positive.

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Higher global tariffs could shave 30–60 bps off India’s GDP growth, but the RBI will likely maintain or slightly lower its forecast. On inflation, 60% expect no change, while 40% foresee a slight revision to 4–4.1%.

Overall, the policy is expected to be dovish, with the RBI balancing global risks and domestic growth. Further rate cuts may be on the horizon.

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