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Real Estate Stocks Fall as RBI Rate Hike Worries About Home Loan Affordability

The group may reconvene to discuss real estate issues again, as no final decision was made at this meeting.

The Nifty Realty index fell 1.15% on December 7 after the Reserve Bank of India hiked the benchmark lending rate by 35 basis points to 6.25%. As repo rates rise, lending rates will also increase, reducing the ability to buy homes.

At noon, Oberoi Realty fell 3.07%, Brigade Enterprises fell 2.05%, and DLF and Godrej Properties fell more than 1.5%. For the year, Nifty Realty was flat, up 0.09%.

Several experts believe that if interest rates remain below 9.5%, the impact on housing will be modest. Foreign brokerage CLSA also said demand should remain resilient to the 9.5% mortgage rate, but beyond that, buyers may encounter some headwinds. Currently, the mortgage rate is 8.5%.

Based on the impact of interest rates this cycle, the Knight Frank Affordability Index has averaged a cumulative national-wide deterioration of 3%.

Foreign brokerage firms remain bullish on India’s real estate sector. CLSA sees India as a bright spot amid the global real estate downturn. Its top picks are DLF, Prestige Estates and Sobha, with target prices of Rs 396, Rs 460 and Rs 620, respectively.

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