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By EquityPandit

ECONOMY

Madhya Pradesh CM Invites Japanese Investments; State Exports $92.8M to Japan

The state is enhancing its industrial capabilities to attract global investors.

Madhya Pradesh CM Mohan Yadav announced that the state exported goods worth USD 92.8 million to Japan in 2023-24 while inviting business leaders to explore investment opportunities.

Yadav is on a four-day visit to Japan to promote investment in Madhya Pradesh. He highlighted the state’s export success, expressed hopes of attracting significant Japanese investments, and mentioned the upcoming Global Investor Summit.

Madhya Pradesh has seen its economy grow threefold over the past decade and aims to double it in the next five years. 

The state is enhancing its industrial capabilities to attract global investors, including those from Japan.

Yadav also emphasised the availability of skilled youth in the state and expressed optimism about future collaborations with Japan.

The Madhya Pradesh Global Investors Summit (GIS) 2025 will be held on 24th-25th February in Bhopal, with over 15,000 investors from more than 30 countries expected to attend.

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ECONOMY

Govt Launches Rs 100 Cr Credit Guarantee Scheme for MSME Manufacturing Boost

Dhruva Kulkarni

The government launched the Mutual Credit Guarantee Scheme for MSMEs (MCGS-MSME) to provide 60% guarantee coverage for loans up to Rs 100 crore, aimed at helping MSMEs purchase equipment and machinery.

Eligible MSMEs must have valid Udyam Registration, with the loan amount not exceeding Rs 100 crore and at least 75% of the project cost allocated for equipment or machinery.

The guarantee fee is nil during the sanction year, 1.5% per year for the next three years, and 1% per year thereafter, based on the loan outstanding as of 31st March of the previous year.

The scheme will be available for four years or until a cumulative guarantee of Rs 7 lakh crore is issued, whichever comes first.

The MCGS-MSME aims to boost India’s manufacturing sector, which contributes 17% to GDP, by facilitating credit for plant and machinery purchases, enabling faster growth and expansion.

India is increasingly seen as an alternative supply source due to its raw materials, low labour costs, and growing manufacturing expertise.

This scheme addresses long-standing demands from industry associations, particularly for medium-sized enterprises, by offering collateral-free loans to aid their expansion.

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ECONOMY

India’s Coffee Output Falls, Export Outlook Uncertain Despite Record Prices

Dhruva Kulkarni

According to industry officials, India’s coffee exports are projected to decline by over 10% in 2025 due to reduced production and lower carry-forward stocks despite record-high prices.

As the world’s seventh-largest coffee grower, India mainly produces robusta beans for instant coffee and some arabica beans.  

The decline in Indian exports could further tighten global supplies already affected by Brazil’s weaker output, sustaining record-high benchmark futures. High summer temperatures, water scarcity, and heavy rains have delayed harvesting and reduced yields.  

India harvested 374,200 tons of coffee in the 2023/24 season, but officials now report lower yields for the current season. 

Increased exports in 2024, driven by record prices and anticipation of EU deforestation regulations, depleted stocks, limiting the surplus available for exports in 2025.  

Key European buyers like Italy, Germany, and Belgium have slowed purchases due to high prices, although Indian robusta continues to fetch a $250 premium over London futures.

Farmers are holding back crops, anticipating further price rallies, experts from Volcafe noted.

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ECONOMY

Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Goa Among Top States in NITI Aayog’s Fiscal Health Index

Dhruva Kulkarni

Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Goa, and Jharkhand have been recognised as top-performing states in NITI Aayog’s first Fiscal Health Index (FHI) report, released on 24th January 2025.

NITI Aayog’s first Fiscal Health Index (FHI) ranked states for 2022-23, focusing on fiscal stability, public expenditure, revenues, and overall financial health. Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Goa, and Jharkhand emerged as top performers, categorised as ‘achievers.’

The worst-performing states in the FHI report, including Punjab, Andhra Pradesh, West Bengal, and Kerala, face significant fiscal challenges and are listed under the ‘aspirational’ category.

The ‘front-runners’ category includes Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, Telangana, Madhya Pradesh, and Karnataka, showing strong fiscal health with high developmental expenditure and consistent tax revenue growth.

States like Tamil Nadu, Bihar, Rajasthan, and Haryana were classified as ‘performers,’ showing better fiscal management than aspirational states but not as strong as the top performers.

Odisha ranked the highest in fiscal health with the best debt index and sustainability scores, excelling in revenue mobilisation and budgetary management.

Kerala and Punjab struggle with debt sustainability, while West Bengal faces revenue mobilisation issues. Andhra Pradesh has a high fiscal deficit, and Haryana’s debt profile is weak.

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ECONOMY

Indian Sugar Mills Push for Higher Prices Amid Export Challenges

Dhruva Kulkarni

Indian traders are facing challenges in securing export contracts despite the government permitting 1 million metric tons of sugar exports. Mills are demanding high premiums over London prices, which buyers are hesitant to pay.

The slower pace of shipments will support global sugar prices, which recently fell to their lowest in three years.

Local prices surged nearly 10% after the export approval, reducing the export incentive for mills.

Traders have contracted 20,000 tons for February shipment at $490-$510 per ton, nearly $10-$25 above London futures.

Mills have until September 2025 to export their quotas, so they are waiting for global prices to rise before finalising deals.

India was the world’s second-largest sugar exporter from 2018-2023, selling mainly to Indonesia, Bangladesh, and the UAE.

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ECONOMY

India Plans Largest Farm Budget Hike in Six Years

Dhruva Kulkarni

India plans to boost agricultural spending by roughly 15% to about $20 billion in the upcoming budget. This marks the largest increase in six years as the government aims to raise rural incomes and control inflation.

The funds will go towards high-yielding seeds, improved storage and supply chains, and increased pulses, oilseeds, vegetables, and dairy production.

This aims to boost rural incomes and control food price inflation, which recently peaked above 10%.

Current strategies to curb inflation include export restrictions on some products and duty-free import policies for certain pulses.

The agricultural ministry’s budget and research spending for new varieties will also increase. The government aims to boost farm exports to $80 billion by 2030, up from the current $50 billion.

The budget may also increase subsidised farm loan limits and expand crop insurance.

The government aims to boost pulse production to 30 million metric tons by 2030 and invest $9 billion in fisheries over the next five years. Incentives for food processing firms are also planned.

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