India looks to restrict Chinese smartphone makers from selling devices cheaper than 12,000 rupees (USD150). This is in pursuance of stimulating its faltering domestic industry. The move aims at pushing Chinese giants out of the lower segment of the world’s second-biggest mobile market.
High-volume brands like Xiaomi, Realme and Transsion are undercutting local phone manufacturers. Exclusion from India’s entry-level market would hurt these companies. Over the years, these companies have relied on India to drive growth. Smartphones under Rs 12000 contributed to a third of India’s sales volume for the quarter through June 2022. In this, Chinese companies accounted for roughly 80% of those shipments.
However, it’s still unclear whether the government will announce any policies or use informal channels to convey its preference to Chinese companies. The government has already subjected Chinese firms such as Xiaomi, Oppo and Vivo to scrutinising their finances. Allegedly, these companies are involved in money laundering cases. Instead of introducing an official policy prohibiting Chinese networking gear, the government may encourage wireless carriers.
In 2020, India vigorously pressurised Chinese firms when more than a dozen Indian soldiers died after a clash between the neighbouring countries on a disputed Himalayan border. Since then, it has banned more than 300 Chinese apps, including TikTok and WeChat.
Domestic companies, including Micromax and Lava, constituted just under half of India’s smartphone sales before entrants from the neighbouring country disrupted the market with cost-effective and feature-rich devices.
India’s Industrial Growth Slows to 2.9% in February on Weak Manufacturing

India’s factory output (IIP) grew 2.9% in February 2025, slowing from 5.2% in January due to weaker growth across key sectors.
Manufacturing and mining growth eased to 2.9% and 1.6%, respectively, while electricity generation improved to 3.6% from 2.4% in January.
Primary goods growth slowed to 2.8% from 5.5%, capital goods rose 8.2% versus 10.3%, and infrastructure/construction goods grew 6.6% from 7.4%.
Consumer durables grew 3.8%, down from 7.2% in January, while consumer non-durables contracted 2.1% after a 0.3% decline.
The IIP index for February stood at 151.3, with mining at 141.9, manufacturing at 148.6, and electricity at 194.0.
Key manufacturing drivers were basic metals (5.8%), motor vehicles and trailers (8.9%), and non-metallic mineral products (8.0%), supported by increased production of steel, auto components, and cement.
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China Hints at Rate Cuts to Offset Trump’s Tariffs

A Chinese state newspaper signalled the need for monetary easing as US trade tensions threaten economic growth, suggesting the central bank should cut interest rates and banks’ reserve requirements.
The report stated that such measures could stabilise markets, boost confidence, and mitigate external shocks.
Chinese stocks rose for the third day, driven by stimulus expectations and hopes for a trade deal with the US. The urgency for easing increased after US President Donald Trump raised tariffs on Chinese imports to 125% while pausing levies on other trade partners.
Meanwhile, China’s consumer deflation extended for a second month in March, adding to economic concerns.
The People’s Bank of China has repeatedly pledged to lower borrowing costs and reserve requirements, fueling a rally in China’s bond market.
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Piyush Goyal to Discuss Export Strategies Amid Trump’s Tariff Moves

Union Minister Piyush Goyal will meet exporters at Vanijya Bhawan in New Delhi today from 3 PM to 5 PM to discuss challenges posed by US President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs.
The meeting will focus on strategies to mitigate their impact, with exporters exploring new markets in gems, jewellery, electronics, textiles, and apparel.
Senior Ministry officials, along with representatives from Export Promotion Councils (EPCs) and the Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO), will participate, according to PTI (Press Trust of India Ltd).
Earlier today, Goyal emphasised that India’s best interests remain the priority in trade negotiations. Speaking at the Dubai India business forum in Mumbai, he reaffirmed that ‘India First’ is the guiding principle, assuring business leaders that trade agreements will support the country’s long-term economic goals.
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RBI May Cut Rates on 9th April Amid Global Tariff Pressures

With global trade tensions rising due to tariff hikes, all eyes are on the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) policy decision on 9th April. Experts expect the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to weigh these risks while focusing on domestic factors.
A 25-bps rate cut is widely anticipated, with inflation cooling, growth slowing, crude oil prices falling, and US bond yields dipping. While many foresee further reductions in June, opinions differ on the RBI’s stance—about half expect a shift to ‘accommodative,’ while 40% believe it may remain ‘neutral’ amid global uncertainties.
Most predict the repo rate could bottom out around 5.5%, implying a total 75-bps cut. No major liquidity surprises are expected, as the RBI has already eased conditions through open market operations and currency swaps. Further liquidity measures would be market-positive.
Higher global tariffs could shave 30–60 bps off India’s GDP growth, but the RBI will likely maintain or slightly lower its forecast. On inflation, 60% expect no change, while 40% foresee a slight revision to 4–4.1%.
Overall, the policy is expected to be dovish, with the RBI balancing global risks and domestic growth. Further rate cuts may be on the horizon.
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India Raises Excise Duty by Rs 2 on Petrol & Diesel; Retail Prices Unchanged

On 7th April, the Indian government announced a Rs 2 per litre hike in Special Additional Excise Duty (SAED) on petrol and diesel, effective from 8th April.
With this revision, SAED on petrol will rise from Rs 11 to Rs 13 per litre and diesel from Rs 8 to Rs 10 per litre. Despite the hike, the Petroleum Ministry confirmed that retail prices will remain unchanged. Petroleum Minister Hardeep Singh Puri assured consumers that the increase would not be passed on to them, stating, “This will not be passed on to the consumer.”
Puri explained that while crude oil prices have dropped to around $60 per barrel, state-run oil marketing companies (OMCs) manage inventory purchased at an average of $75 per barrel, as they typically hold stock for over 45 days. He added that OMCs may consider price revisions if crude stabilises between $60 and $65 per barrel.
This move comes amid a sustained decline in global crude prices, driven by rising supply from non-OPEC (Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) producers and weaker demand. The downturn has been further intensified by trade tensions following tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump.
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